November 09, 2010

Thoughts on the missile event

The web is abuzz with news of the apparent launch of a ballistic missile off the US west coast.  My initial thoughts:

  • There is no chance in hell it was a jet contrail.
  • There is no chance in hell it was an accidental launch by the US military.
  • NORAD (and therefore the US military) knows exactly what happened.
  • The silence of the US military and Washington is deafening.
  • On the sites I've perused, there are an interesting number of people popping out of the woodwork to advance certain innocent theories.  Almost all these people have either never posted before or rarely post.
  • The most plausible explanation is that it was a scheduled test for which the usual notifications were improperly disseminated.  I'm amazed that (as of this writing) the US military has not said as much.
  • If it's not the last, it's time to get out the tin foil.

This is a truly incredible event, and the silence coming out of the military and our political 'leaders' is disturbing.  Is this the 'black swan' that many market participants have been anticipating/dreading?  We live in interesting times, indeed.

Update:  As 24 hours have passed and this is being brushed off by the powers-that-be, I'm going to just assume it was a US launched missile and they're either trying to hide a  mis-notification SNAFU or they simply don't care to say what they were doing.  The jet contrail thing is simply not credible, but I don't expect to get any clarification on this event either.  We now return you to our regularly scheduled Ben Bernanke bashing.

Posted by: Hermit Dave at 01:01 PM | Comments (2) | Add Comment
Post contains 269 words, total size 2 kb.

1 So what do you make of the theoreticians?  A cabal?  I find the whole thing utterly amazing, and now the nets are trying to forward the idea this is an illusion and it's just a contrail... A fucking contrail?  "Who you gonna believe, me or your lyin' eyes?"

Gotta be the Chicoms rattling sabers.

Posted by: the botnet at November 10, 2010 09:47 AM (dFRov)

2

Nah, I don't think you need any tinfoil at all on this one.  Even though the official reaction would be identical if it were the Chicoms, that's still going into tinfoil hat territory.  Not completely crazy, but still not very credible.

I've looked at all the visuals and read all the sensible analysis and it seems to me that the most obvious explanation (given the visual, official reaction, and common-sense clues) is probably correct.  The military either fucked up the notification process and don't want to admit it or they were doing something secret and don't want to talk about it.

The reason the jet contrail explanation is going to end up being accepted as common wisdom is because it's the simplest explanation that requires no tinfoil.  That doesn't require any conspiracy by those advocating it, and it's normally the side I'd be on also.  I just don't think it adds up in this case, so I'm going with the next theory that requires no tinfoil.

It doesn't really matter in any event.  Whether a jet contrail or a military fuck-up, it's a normal occurrence. Move along, nothing to see here.

Posted by: Hermit Dave at November 10, 2010 09:59 AM (sqGe2)

Hide Comments | Add Comment

Comments are disabled. Post is locked.
11kb generated in CPU 0.0121, elapsed 0.0509 seconds.
45 queries taking 0.0419 seconds, 78 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.